Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.130313 0.139485 0.149070 0.159850 0.171658 0.184223 0.198635
2025-08-31 0.110384 0.123687 0.138439 0.156099 0.176779 0.200371 0.229522
2025-09-07 0.099275 0.115197 0.133682 0.156933 0.185682 0.220444 0.266248
2025-09-14 0.088686 0.105653 0.126051 0.152709 0.187120 0.230738 0.291362
2025-09-21 0.079660 0.096888 0.118183 0.146887 0.185269 0.235876 0.309493
2025-09-28 0.073319 0.090803 0.112946 0.143624 0.185971 0.243857 0.331727
2025-10-05 0.070494 0.088900 0.112789 0.146828 0.195387 0.264329 0.373866
2025-10-12 0.067677 0.086726 0.111996 0.148923 0.203207 0.283033 0.415447
2025-10-19 0.064295 0.083518 0.109497 0.148291 0.206830 0.295623 0.448720
2025-10-26 0.061407 0.080775 0.107406 0.147992 0.210771 0.308873 0.484535
2025-11-02 0.058410 0.077683 0.104588 0.146341 0.212374 0.318385 0.514927
2025-11-09 0.054932 0.073711 0.100253 0.142054 0.209388 0.319945 0.531036
2025-11-16 0.052050 0.070516 0.096964 0.139291 0.208850 0.325935 0.556965
2025-11-23 0.049488 0.067672 0.094056 0.136953 0.208861 0.332950 0.586121
2025-11-30 0.047986 0.066305 0.093273 0.137909 0.214443 0.350358 0.638718
2025-12-07 0.045505 0.063348 0.089896 0.134408 0.212005 0.352764 0.660311
2025-12-14 0.042870 0.060045 0.085817 0.129488 0.206667 0.349160 0.668273
2025-12-21 0.040919 0.057700 0.083124 0.126720 0.204961 0.352335 0.691867
2025-12-28 0.040328 0.057418 0.083665 0.129447 0.213463 0.376422 0.768011
2026-01-04 0.039566 0.056827 0.083669 0.131227 0.220323 0.397938 0.842212
2026-01-11 0.038372 0.055502 0.082408 0.130691 0.222685 0.410292 0.895649
2026-01-18 0.037306 0.054335 0.081348 0.130437 0.225556 0.424019 0.955442
2026-01-25 0.036081 0.052864 0.079711 0.129034 0.226016 0.432458 1.002412